'''Marion King Hubbert''' (
October 5, 1903 –
October 11, 1989) was a geophysicist who worked at the
Shell research lab in Houston,
Texas. He made several important contributions to
geology and
geophysics, with important political ramifications. He was often referred to as "M. King Hubbert" or "King Hubbert".
Biography
M. King Hubbert (outlined in blue) and other prominent leaders of the technocratic movement
Hubbert was born in
San Saba,
Texas in 1903. He attended the
University of Chicago, where he received his B.S. in 1926, his M.S. in 1928, and his Ph.D in 1937, studying geology, mathematics, and physics. He worked as an assistant
geologist for the Amerada Petroleum Company for two years while pursuing his Ph.D. He joined the Shell Oil Company in 1943, retiring from that firm in 1964. After he retired from Shell, he became a senior research geophysicist for the
United States Geological Survey until his retirement in 1976. He also held positions as a professor of geology and geophysics at
Stanford University from 1963 to 1968, and as a professor at
Berkeley from 1973 to 1976.
Though it is uncommon knowledge, Hubbert was an avid
technocrat. Considered a great asset to the organization, he helped set up Technocracy, Inc. and contributing significantly to the Technocracy Study Guide.
Research
Hubbert made several contributions to geophysics, including a mathematical demonstration that
rock in the Earth's crust, because it is under immense pressure in large areas, should exhibit
plasticity, similar to
clay. This demonstration explained the observed results that the Earth' s crust deforms over time. He also studied the flow of underground fluids.
Hubbert is most well-known for his studies on the capacities of
oil fields and
natural gas reserves. He predicted that the petroleum production of a reserve over time would resemble a
bell curve, peaking when half of the petroleum has been extracted, and then falling off. At the 1956 meeting of the
American Petroleum Institute in San Antonio, Texas, Hubbert made the prediction that overall oil production would peak in the
United States in the late
1960s to the early
1970s. He became famous when this prediction came true in 1970. The curve he used in his analysis is known as the
Hubbert curve, and the peak of the curve is known as the
Hubbert peak.
Between October 17, 1973, and March 1974, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) ceased shipments of petroleum to the United States, causing what has been called the 1973 energy crisis. In 1975, with the United States still suffering from high oil prices, the
National Academy of Sciences confirmed their acceptance of Hubbert's calculations on oil and natural gas depletion, and acknowledged that their earlier, more optimistic estimates had been incorrect. This gathered great media attention for Hubbert.
Accolades
Hubbert was a member of the
National Academy of Sciences and the
American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He was long affiliated with the
Geological Society of America, receiving their Arthur L. Day Medal in 1954, being elected President of the Society in 1962, and receiving the Society's Penrose Medal in 1973. He received the Vetlesen Prize from the G. Unger Vetlesen foundation and
Columbia University in 1981.
References
- National Academy of Sciences (1990), Tribute to M. King Hubbert. Printed in "Letter to Members", Volume 19--Number 4, April 1990. Available at Tribute to M. King Hubbert, accessed at July 27, 2004.
- Hubbert's biography and quotes on Hubbert Peak of Oil Production M. King Hubbert. Accessed March 27, 2005.
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